THE IMPRECISION OF WEATHER FORECASTING IN SINGAPORE
And Its Implication For Climate Change Fallacies
On 1 June 2023, for the first half of June our Mets service forecasted that daily maximum temperature would range between 33-34*C and up to 35*C and rainfall to be near average.
On 16 June 2023, the forecast for the second half of the month was 34*C, up to 35*C on some days and below average rainfall.
Yet, on 2 July 2023, it reported that the actual daily maximum temperature in June was actually lower than in May, ranging between 32-34*C. The actual rainfall was also higher than average, not lower.
Warm and dry weather expected in first half of July - TODAY
It is noted that our Mets Service weather forecasts which is only for a 2-week period had been wildly inaccurate. In fact the forecasted weather is the exact opposite to what actually later transpired. It predicted higher temperatures in June 2023, but it was actually lower; it predicted lower rainfall, but it was actually higher!
So, on a global scale, how can we trust the shrill predictions of the urgent prospect of a burning planet destroying itself if average global temperatures were to exceed the average 1850-1900 temperatures by 1.5*C? That “Final call to save the world from climate catastrophe” report on 8 October 2018 warned that “going past 1.5*C is dicing with the planet's liveability.”
Final call to save the world from 'climate catastrophe' - BBC News
At the COP26 Summit on 6 November 2021, it was announced that the Earth had already warmed by 1.1*C and warned that if it warmed by another 0.4*C by 2100, this half-degree Celsius difference in temperature would make a “huge” “difference for life on Earth”! They predicted “that 70 to 90% of coral reefs will die off worldwide.” They also said that unheard-of storms will be so common that “infrastructure like buildings, roads and storm drains” may not survive. And “many small island nations around the world are at risk of becoming uninhabitable”, if further warming occurs.
How the climate would change if the world warms over 1.5 degrees : NPR
Now, on 17 May 2023, “researchers” now say “they are 98% certain the high mark (of 1.5*C) will be broken before 2027.” So, now they are no longer talking about 2100, but 2027! So, are the worldwide calamities they predicted for 2100 now going to happen in 4 years?
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-65602293
Now, back to Singapore’s erroneous temperature and rainfall forecasts during each of the two 2-week intervals in a single month in June 2023, it is noted that they are already off by 1-2*C in a small locality in a single month.. Such errors in a tropical island at the Equator like Singapore, which is known for its stable climate and weather, only tells us the foolhardiness of trying to predict the global climate which have wide latitudinal variations of temperatures and seasons over the next 77 years and worse, to warn of Hollywood-style planetary disasters over a 0.4*C increase of “global” (where is this temperature experienced anyway?) temperature over those 77 years!
This is not a man-made climate change that we are facing. This is a man-made pseudo-crisis that is illogical, unreal and non-existent.
